Notes on Antifragile

Randomization of a part of the control is an essential concept of nature's strategy

在自然選擇裡,進化實際上是隨機(沒有方向)的,是在複雜世界中找到答案(適應自然)最有效率的辦法。這裡的關鍵詞是“不知道”,如果根本不知道未來會怎麼變,最好還是隨機一些; 這個概念可以和 個人的 The 'Presence' Mode 相對照。

如此說來,在未知的未來,進化可以被視為一種創新手段。 “自由市場經濟”就深得生物進化之道,因為市場的真正關鍵在於“不知道”。 創新,也許是堅持自由市場的最基本理由。

Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder

Randomization of a part of the control is an essential concept of nature's strategy; Here the key word is 'unknown', such as dionysus VS apollo, the wanderer VS the tourist, induction VS deduction.

The enlightenment placed the individual in a more important position; It liberates the individual from the shackles of tribe and society. While modernization based on the enlightenment is the systematic expulsion of human from a random ecological environment, leading to over-optimization.

Like Britain during the industrial revolution, America's largest asset is that the ability to take risks and utilize alternatives. This is a remarkable capacity to engage in reasonable trial and error, not to feel ashamed of failure, but to start over. While east asian, on the contrary, views failure as shameful, contrast to their tradition of respecting defeated bushido.

For the individual, how to gain (risk VS reward)?

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